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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 13.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 37.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 8.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season while on his home court.

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.1 free throws per game over the last 5 games (22nd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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