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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has played 29.7 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.

The Houston Rockets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The Houston Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Rockets.

The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (95th percentile).

The matchup against the Nuggets is a positive one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (121.5).

The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 28.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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