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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 13.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.3 threes per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Caleb Martin is a strong one for scoring; when guarding opposing starting PFs this year, they have converted a massive 6.2 field goals per game (97th percentile).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

The matchup against Caleb Martin is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game (14th percentile).

Jabari Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production across the board.

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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