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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Lakers.
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a monstrous 21.6 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has made 17.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, -12.6% lower than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Lakers have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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