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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2023

LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's put through the net overall this season on the road.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year when playing at home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 22.4 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 15.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, -14.2% lower than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Rockets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year on their home court, which ought to reduce [OPPORTUNITIES_POSSESSIONS] for the Clippers.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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