Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2022

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 29, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.9 threes per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.
Jabari Smith Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 76th percentile.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).
The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.
The Rockets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 4th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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