Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 6.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target 3-pointers, tallying a whopping 3.2 per game this year.
With respect to 3-pointers, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.2% rate of made threes measures as the 2nd-weakest in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

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