Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 43.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The 6th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. is expected to get a boost in output in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Rockets check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.6).
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Houston Rockets.

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