Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 31.4 minutes per game this year.
The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 12thbest in in the league while on the road with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 23.6% of his three-point shots away from his home court this year, putting him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 18.6% on three-pointers (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Knicks, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).

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