Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 29.7% on threes (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Celtics, making this a tough matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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