Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 28.1% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point ability has spiked this year to 37.4%.
Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 2.8 mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s personal fouls per game have surged this season to 3.8.
The matchup against Memphis is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are away from home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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