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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has made an impressive 50.3% of his shots from downtown this year, significantly higher than his 27.6 mark last year.

In terms of shots from downtown, the Rockets's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Grizzlies is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.6).

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr. is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Rockets.

The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).

The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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