Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 3:44 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home.
The Rockets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).

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