Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has posted 2.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's posted in all games this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hornets).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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