Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.0 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. should see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

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