Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.3 minutes per game at home this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.

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