Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Jabari Smith Jr. will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
While on the road, the Spurs have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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