Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 11:22 PM UTC

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
Jabari Smith Jr. figures to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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