Ja Morant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has averaged 4.9 defensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 87th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Ja Morant measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.5 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games as the road team.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ja Morant measures in the 90th percentile for technical fouls, logging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season.
Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).
Ja Morant ought to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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