Ja Morant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 12:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has compiled 4.9 defensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 87th percentile.
Ja Morant has tallied 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile.
The 7th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (94th percentile).
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 13 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
Ja Morant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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