Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 21.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Ja Morant has attempted 5.7 three-point shots per game over the last 9 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Ja Morant has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
In regard to three-pointers, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 34.3% rate of converted threes settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Ja Morant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

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