Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has compiled 23.1 points per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 96th percentile.
Ja Morant has attempted 4.6 three-point shots per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has played 35.3 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 7.7 more than he's played overall this season.
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.9 three-pointers per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Nets, making this a positive matchup.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 106.9 points per game places 2nd-fewest in the league since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are at home (3rd-least in the league).
Ja Morant figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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