Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 19.9 shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Ja Morant measures in the 82nd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 5.1 per game since the start of last season.
Ja Morant has averaged 31.9 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Raptors are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (23.6%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Toronto may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Toronto Raptors are away from home (11th-least in the league).

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