Ja Morant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 5.7 three-point shots per game over the last 9 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Ja Morant has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Grizzlies check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ja Morant rates in the 25th percentile for 3-point ability with a lackluster 27.5% rate this year.
Ja Morant has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
In regard to three-pointers, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 34.3% rate of converted threes settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
Ja Morant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.