Ja Morant Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2025

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 18, 2025

Updated Apr 19, 2025 12:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has tallied 7.9 assists per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Ja Morant has played 35.3 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 4.9 more than he's played in all games this season.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Ja Morant has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

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