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Ja Morant

Ja Morant Assists
Player Prop - 4/28/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Ja Morant has posted an impressive 8.0 assists per game this season, significantly more than his 7.2 assists per game last season.
  • Ja Morant has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 85th percentile.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.
  • The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Ja Morant has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Ja Morant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

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