Isaiah Stewart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Isaiah Stewart

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Stewart

F-C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Stewart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Stewart lands in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup.
The fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Isaiah Stewart has sunk 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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