Isaiah Stewart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Isaiah Stewart

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Stewart

F-C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Stewart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Stewart has made 39.9% of his attempts from downtown while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on shot attempts from the field (21st-best in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The 5th-quickest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Isaiah Stewart has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
As it relates to scoring, the Pistons's subpar 112.5 points per game rates 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Isaiah Stewart stands to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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