Isaiah Stewart Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Isaiah Stewart

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Stewart

F-C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Stewart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Indiana is a strong one; when the Indiana Pacers are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (17.6).
The 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last year's 72.0% rate, Isaiah Stewart's free-throw proficiency has jumped this year to 85.6%.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 3.0 clip, Isaiah Stewart's unsuccessful 3-point shots have surged this year to 2.9 per game.
Isaiah Stewart has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (79th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
Playing at home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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