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Isaiah Stewart

Isaiah Stewart Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

Isaiah Stewart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 30.8% clip, Isaiah Stewart's three-point efficiency has risen this season to 42.2%.

Isaiah Stewart has played 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 12thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of shooting, the Pistons's subpar 110.0 points per game comes in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Nuggets are at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.7).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.

Isaiah Stewart has attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 3.0 rate last season.

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team (15th-least in the NBA).

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