Isaiah Livers Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Isaiah Livers

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Livers

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Livers Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 25th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%).
The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 36.3% rate, Isaiah Livers's 3-point ability has been reduced this season to 22.9%.
Isaiah Livers has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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