Isaiah Livers Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Livers

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Utah Jazz vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Livers Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have compiled 24.0 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Jazz, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive output.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8thbest in in the NBA away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Utah is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.6 foul shots per game this year when the Jazz are playing at home (30th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Isaiah Livers has successfully made a lowly 27.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 40.1 rate last year.
Isaiah Livers has converted a mere 19.4% of his 3-pointers this season, quite a bit less than his 36.3 mark last season.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons.
The Utah Jazz have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Isaiah Livers stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.