Isaiah Livers Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Livers

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Livers Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, the other team has averaged 26.3 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, creating a challenging matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Isaiah Livers has converted 83.6% of his free throws playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Isaiah Livers measures in the 19th percentile for shooting performance when playing away from home with a a weak 39.6% rate since the start of last season.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Pacers are playing at home, the other team has attempted an enormous 28.2 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).
Isaiah Livers will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.