Isaiah Joe Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Isaiah Joe

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Joe

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Joe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Joe has attempted 6.4 3-pointers per game away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Raptors, making this a good matchup.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Thunder have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Isaiah Joe has converted 50.0% of his free throws when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league.
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at drawing fouls as the away team: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 19.2 free throws per game.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Isaiah Joe will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.

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