Isaiah Joe Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Isaiah Joe

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Joe

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Joe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Joe rates in the 82nd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc when playing at home, logging 5.9 per game this year.
The Thunder have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Thunder.
Isaiah Joe has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line.

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