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Isaiah Joe

Isaiah Joe Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Isaiah Joe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Isaiah Joe has made 55.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 12.1% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Isaiah Joe has converted 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% more than he's made in all games this season while playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, opposing teams have compiled the 5th-highest three percentage in the league against them this year (38.1%).

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Joe will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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