Isaiah Joe Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Isaiah Joe

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Joe

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Joe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Joe has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Isaiah Joe has tallied 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 9.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Isaiah Joe has successfully made 92.9% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against Detroit is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Pistons are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 11th-lowest three rate in the league this year (32.8%).
The Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
The Pistons have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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