Isaiah Hartenstein Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Hartenstein

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Hartenstein has attempted 8.4 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 5.0 mark last year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted a measly 0.0% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit less than his 50.0 rate last year.
Among all players in the league, Isaiah Hartenstein lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Zach Edey is a hard one; he has given up just 13.7 points per game when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.
The showdown with Zach Edey in terms of getting to the free-throw line ranks in the 21st percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.7 free throws per game this year when they are playing on the road.

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