Isaiah Hartenstein Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Hartenstein

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Hartenstein Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Hartenstein has totaled 4.2 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best by this metric recently: 86th percentile.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Isaiah Hartenstein will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production across the board.

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