Herbert Jones Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Steals

Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has compiled 1.7 steals per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 99th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 12 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
Herbert Jones will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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