Herbert Jones Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 3:44 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has posted 4.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.5 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
Herbert Jones will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.

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