Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2026

Updated Jan 28, 2026 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 5th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on their home court (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a difficult one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).

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