Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 7, 2026 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the home team.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out best in in the NBA on their home court with 15.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year in regard to treys.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from competing against the 6th-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Lakers).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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