Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2025

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2025

Updated Dec 27, 2025 6:24 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pelicans have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Suns have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to increase possessions for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Suns, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

With respect to threes, the Pelicans's subpar 10.5 converted threes per game with the home court advantage ranks fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 1.5 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a difficult matchup.

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