Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2025

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 22, 2025

Updated Dec 23, 2025 12:49 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pelicans have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year with respect to 3-pointers.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line.

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