Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2025

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 18, 2025

Updated Dec 19, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, creating a positive matchup.
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 114.2 points per game comes in as the 8th-fewest in the league this year.
The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Rockets).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making it tough to draw fouls.

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