Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has successfully made 54.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Herbert Jones has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 19 games (the Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 2nd-best in in the NBA at home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.4 fouls per game this year.
The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a difficult one; when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1).
The matchup against Portland is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Trail Blazers are the visiting squad (4th-least in the league).

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