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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.

The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Herbert Jones will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 39.6% clip, Herbert Jones's 3-point prowess has declined this season to 26.8%.

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).

The Pelicans rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest FG% in the league this year (40.6%).

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).

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