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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/1/2025

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones slots into the 79th percentile for scoring proficiency while playing on the road with a stellar 51.8% rate this year.

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).

The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc scored against Jimmy Butler has been remarkably high (46.0%) when defending other starting SFs this year (100th percentile).

The 6th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has sunk just 26.0% of his 3-pointers this season, a sizeable decrease from his 39.6 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.5 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

In regard to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's lackluster 101.3 points per game while playing on the road comes in as the lowest in the league this year.

The Pelicans are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Herbert Jones will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production for all stats.

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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