Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Houston is a good one for threes; when the Rockets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in possessions today from facing the 7th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Rockets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has sunk 26.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Herbert Jones has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are on the road (2nd-least in the league).

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